Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.019213 0.020725 0.022299 0.024061 0.025980 0.028007 0.030314
2025-11-02 0.016712 0.018881 0.021259 0.024062 0.027285 0.030881 0.035208
2025-11-09 0.014811 0.017313 0.020158 0.023646 0.027822 0.032677 0.038777
2025-11-16 0.013386 0.016078 0.019235 0.023228 0.028169 0.034113 0.041851
2025-11-23 0.012417 0.015267 0.018697 0.023156 0.028833 0.035870 0.045326
2025-11-30 0.011562 0.014509 0.018139 0.022971 0.029284 0.037319 0.048426
2025-12-07 0.010858 0.013880 0.017678 0.022847 0.029759 0.038774 0.051567
2025-12-14 0.010219 0.013283 0.017209 0.022659 0.030105 0.040037 0.054478
2025-12-21 0.009746 0.012869 0.016943 0.022706 0.030742 0.041695 0.057996
2025-12-28 0.009256 0.012402 0.016572 0.022574 0.031105 0.042966 0.061009
2026-01-04 0.008850 0.012021 0.016291 0.022540 0.031585 0.044405 0.064322
2026-01-11 0.008514 0.011718 0.016096 0.022607 0.032197 0.046045 0.068004
2026-01-18 0.008145 0.011364 0.015832 0.022589 0.032724 0.047650 0.071834
2026-01-25 0.007798 0.011026 0.015574 0.022566 0.033245 0.049278 0.075822
2026-02-01 0.007371 0.010549 0.015090 0.022175 0.033176 0.049991 0.078387
2026-02-08 0.006979 0.010103 0.014626 0.021785 0.033078 0.050637 0.080861
2026-02-15 0.006704 0.009817 0.014384 0.021717 0.033472 0.052067 0.084705
2026-02-22 0.006421 0.009506 0.014088 0.021545 0.033681 0.053200 0.088102
2026-03-01 0.006173 0.009235 0.013838 0.021429 0.033969 0.054466 0.091793
2026-03-08 0.005926 0.008955 0.013561 0.021254 0.034143 0.055540 0.095201
2026-03-15 0.005747 0.008772 0.013425 0.021298 0.034680 0.057248 0.099843
2026-03-22 0.005540 0.008537 0.013197 0.021175 0.034922 0.058454 0.103633
2026-03-29 0.005366 0.008346 0.013029 0.021144 0.035315 0.059938 0.108027